Saturday, May 27, 2006

Back on the Street

blogdai will be reporting live from Kathmandu until further notice. I've spoken with quite a few citizens already and will be giving you their opinions, unedited, over the next few columns. Live quotes will be in Green. All photos taken by blogdai. -=BD

"If the situation stays like this, there will be civil war."

These are not the faces of victory. Everywhere is the look of resignation and outright exhaustion. People are tired. They want peace and they don't care how it arrives as long as it comes soon. "
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"The situation is in transition. Everyone is tired of demonstrations."
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"We would have given the King more (of a ) chance, but no one trusts Paras."


Nepal lingers in a cloud of uncertainty. There is an emerging acknowledgement that the accomplishments of the recent protests--seen as mostly positive-- were conceived in partisanship-- agenda-driven and myopic in scope. On thing stands out as clear, however; from the dawn of the protests right through to the re-emergence of parliament, this is a Maoist show. Prachanda and his boys remain unbent, unbroken and riding a tide of momentum.
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"These guys (parliament) can't do anything. Everything they do comes from Maoists."
"Las week Maoists openly showed their guns at Asan."

"Many new (suspicious) faces are on the streets now."


Maoists now paint propaganda slogans openly along the walls of Kathmandu's streets. Their political grafitti--often in phrases that span over hundreds of meteres--admonishes any and all to "keep going" and to "continue the struggle" as though some final hidden Maoist plan has yet to be fully realized.


Brand new Maoist droppings in Kathmandu

Each day brings another example of Nepal's drift towards chaos. Rule of law is neither adhered to nor enforced. Power seems to lie in one's ability to stir otherwise composed masses into an angry mob.

Such is the insanity of the recent spate of hospital attacks. The Baneshwor attack tell us all we need to know about the current state of civil order in Kathmandu. It seems a young man became so irate when his father died at a nursing facility in Baneshwor that he began to severely beat some of the attending physicians there. Eventually, guards were called and the young man was removed. End of story right? Not in today's Kathmandu, I'm afraid.

Windows? Who needs windows...

The angry man immediately began telling all who would listen that the doctors had killed his father deliberately. We now can sprinkle in a generous helping of activist students, combine it with the current Nepali propensity to act on passionate pleas rather than logic, and voila': the young man had his newly created mob--assembled and ready for action. And act they did! Every window in the facility was shattered and equipment damage was extensive. Long live "the will of the people." My, isn't this a wonderful new, vibrant democracy we've all created?

"Everything is now solved on the street with violence. It is all they (SPAM) know how to do."

So, let's take a first pass at some sort of analysis:

SPA: Powerless puppets. The Maoists are about to discard them like a used rickshaw.

KING: Should have waited to give in. Could have held out until the monsoon. Blundering badly with his possible involvement with the Hindu extremist demonstration. (How's your own medicine taste, SPAM?)

MAOISTS: In the driver's seat. Not one aspect of their plan or ideology has been compromised.

CODE OF CONDUCT/PEACE TALKS: Some real interesting points. Maoists are in such control that they can play along with this charade through the monsoon and paint themselves as peace-loving heroes in the process. Overall, this is mostly a monsoon-down-time-diversion. Tellingly, nothing agreed upon that requires the Maoists to concede one point of their communist ideology.

JUNE 5 MAOIST RALLY AT RATNA PARK: Pivotal. No more bluffing. If Prachanda shows up as anticipated, he'll either claim control of the government or agree to go into the political mainstream. blogdai sees the latter as it will allow the Maoists to continue to work their agenda covertly.

"This Maoist rally is very important. We all hope Prachanda says he will be open now. If he tries to say Maoists are in charge, army must rise up and defeat him."

RNA: If they go to Girija, Nepal is finished. They and the King are still powerful. (Remember, all G. had to do was pull the trigger and the outcome would have been different) Pure speculation, but blogdai hopes the RNA will establish itself as an independent third party or balancing entity.

INDIA: Waiting and planning. How do you say "Sikkim"in Nepali?

-=blogdai

15 Comments:

At 4:04 AM, May 27, 2006, Anonymous Anonymous said...

The game is afoot.

The peace discussions are underway in Gokarna. I wonder who got the junior club suites? It will be interesting to see who does the giving and who does the taking if anything comes out of it at all.

And which genius came up with the idea to turn Nepal into a secular country? I don't have an opinion either way but it's plainly an emotive issue and has opened up another can of worms. This is the sort of thing that should be going to referendum (when you can have one).

Meanwhile Moriarty continues with his shuttle diplomacy. Reds in bed and all that..

And as for India. Who knows what is going on there? I've always suspected Manmohan Singh is a puppet. Sonia Gandhi has got herself re-elected and I suspect she's the real powerhouse in Indian politics. Stay out of the limelight and you won't get assassinated.

That's the thing about our part of the world. It's always been dynastic rule of one sort or the other.

No doubt Prachanda's son is buffing up those Cuban heels and pressing his boot cut flares a la Kim Il Jong for the day he becomes the supremo.

naagboy

 
At 9:46 AM, May 27, 2006, Anonymous Anonymous said...

mid june should see a maoist inspired gimmick in public..this time in kathmandu i guess... .. and then as visualised it should return to the original equation of G and the rna against the maoists... will india and the US back G second time around ? i dont think so.
p.s. bd you need to dig the dirt on sitaram yechury..he's the key to the next step, whether the maoists join mainstream, give up arms and pigs fly.
p.s. bd where is your fav sujata koirala ? havent heard her on the spam wave

 
At 5:23 PM, May 27, 2006, Anonymous manan said...

I knew you'd jump over this. Feels like a godsend, doesn't it? Though, I take it, you were rather disappointed it wasn't quite so spectacular?

 
At 11:12 PM, May 27, 2006, Anonymous Anonymous said...

BD,

Good to see you back. Do what you do best.
I am getting shit scared with what is happening in Nepal. All walls, banners speak of Maoist and their harebrained Rhetoric. No one has the guts to defy or just tear it down. Citizenry is in complete "seize mentality." SPA is nothing but a charade so I call upon people like us to act and act now. Please make a forum or a platform where we can do something before it is too late.

Sansar

 
At 12:25 AM, May 28, 2006, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Have you guys heard of KIRAT AUTOMONOUS MOVEMENT? I hear it is allied with Maoist. I would like to know more about this one. Are we in the process of disintegration as a nation, now?

 
At 12:53 AM, May 28, 2006, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Fantastic, fantastic. SPAM spammers feeling the heat.

Thanks for the comments again.

 
At 1:49 AM, May 28, 2006, Anonymous Mahesh said...

One suspects the vox pops are not truly representative of the mood in Kathmandu. I was there a two days ago and having spoken to people, they were not as cynical as the people blogdai has quoted.



"Pure speculation, but blogdai hopes the RNA will establish itself as an independent third party or balancing entity."

Like the Pakistani military? What a great idea?

 
At 9:26 AM, May 28, 2006, Anonymous Anonymous said...

It was the looser King's men who attacked the Nursing Home. There was no way that angry man could have assembled the mob so quickly. The looser King's men are trying to provoke the Hindu sentiments to destablize Nepal. They should all be put behind bars.

If G had stayed any longer, monarchy would have been a history by now. Girija saved monarchy in Nepal and I know Girija and Deuba (who never learn) will try to keep it. But I think these two clowns will not be successful in keeping the monarchy.

Yes, Nepal is not stable and there are hundreds of things that could go wrong. However, we are closer to peace than anytime during 4 years of King's rule. Those 4 wasted years almost killed our country.

 
At 8:59 PM, May 28, 2006, Anonymous Anonymous said...

To anon who says King's goons vandalized the Nursing home. I guess all that 15000 people murdered were also done by King.

Its so easy. 15 years of misrule is now heaped unto a man who actually took the rein at the behest of political parties initiative (they dissolved the assembly unanimously, remember) - not more than year and half ago. Yeah, its an art among us Nepali to pass the buck.

But the ramification of passing a buck will come and haunt us for a long time. Peace now than 4 years ago is quiet apt. Board day light robbery takes place, forced extortion is seen as " a necessity" and people are killed in gangster styled. Yes, there is peace, what I want to ask is how long?

Facade, empty rhetoric and convenient unholy alliance is a recipe for East Timor solution. Mr. goody Martin is recalled back to East Timor- job was half done. So will be the case in Nepal.

Sansar

 
At 11:00 PM, May 29, 2006, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Here is the News clipping about Kirat movement:

Gopal Kirati to surface Saturday
Kathmandu, 27 May: Gopal Kirati, of the Kirat Autonomous Federal state, will surface in Dharan Saturday after having gong underground for years, Saptakit Janasatta reports.

He had been pushing autonomy for Khumbuwan and Limbuwan and in a central member of the CPN (Maoist).

He is surfacing on party instruction.

 
At 11:14 PM, May 29, 2006, Anonymous denk said...

take a look at this,

chinese hand behind nepal coup

 
At 1:13 AM, May 30, 2006, Anonymous shiva said...

Anon 9:26 am is the classic asshole who will blame the "king's men" everytime something goes wrong these days. I suppose you think that it's the King's men who are blatantly extorting money all over the nation today? I guess it's the King's men who are all rising up against the declaration of a secular state as well? Well, in a way you are right. This bloody declaration is probably going to be the jolt to wake up the silent masses. Don't forget that the so called revolution was backed by no more than 200,000 protestors--that's 0.7% of the Nepalese population and the approximately 50,000 Maoists--another 0.19% of the population for a Grand Total of 0.89%. Wow what a majority! Not even bloody 1% of the Nepalese population.

I was in Pashupati last weekend and all I could hear from the Sadhus and the general public there was utter disapproval of the Government's declaration of Nepal as a secular state. Was this necessary? When was there ever religious problems in Nepal? You have given birth to a devil now. Hindu extremists will flood the streets soon and communal violence will erupt. As one Sadhu was saying: "Nepal me aag lagjayega!"--Nepal will go up in flames!!

Extortion rackets and threats on the lives of honest doctors and businessmen are so bad now, everyone is just waiting for someone to lead them out. As far as I can see, the Hindu extremists will soon start this. It has already started in Birgunj and other terai towns--probably because of their proximity to Bihar. How long will the silent majority keep paying the Maobadis and the Khaobadis? The police aren't doing shit and neither is the government. How long do you think they will remain silent?

Nepal will go up in flames...heed the words of the Sadhu in Pashupati.

 
At 4:54 AM, May 30, 2006, Blogger blogdai said...

Yep, this whole thing is a farce. If you look at some of our other articles, every time the Maoists "promise" or "agree" to something, we at blogdai try to be the first to document their first violations. Well, we were just plain caught napping this time. The ink wasn't even dry on the 25-point code of conduct before our Maobadis made a strong military showing in direct violation of point #2 of said agreement. guns and tactical displays don't bode well for cooperation do they?
Now, as if in utter amazement, SPA members are incredulous about the continuing extortions and violations at the hand of the Maoists.

PEOPLE OF NEPAL: Has history taught us nothing? I hate to say it but we are STUPID. So caught up in our French revolution parallels and romantic notions about overthrow that we fogged up our rose colored spectacles.

These idiots who continue to blame the king a bored little boys with the attention spans of fleas. Thrown any good stones lately, children?

And oh dear God, yes, let's mess with one of the only countries on the planet that has not had a major conflict based on theology ideals. Nepal is head and shoulders above the world--could teach us all a thing or two--when it comes to religious tolerance.

I like the creative thinking on the China angle, but I truly believed they bet their wad on the King. Don't worry however, once whatever government we get finally settles down, big brother Dragon will find a way to bribe its way into influence.

Interesting stuff seen today: RNA special commandos training on the streets, running and singing through Thamel. (Also a violation of point 2 of the code of conduct)

For fridays big maoist meet, rumors have it that traffic out of town will be prohibited. Only those coming in will be allowed to pass. I'll be at the meet so stay tuned...

-=blogdai

 
At 5:58 AM, May 30, 2006, Anonymous Anonymous said...

My fear for this coming Friday was this- Armed Maoist rally which turns into a total take over of the capital. They must have planned to take over in force, not just show of force.

The reason is they have the SPA by the balls, police demoralized but somehow they could not neutralize the army as they wanted. So they postpone Salle Prachanda's attendance. I suspect if this was not the case then why would they risk peace talk and hold on SPA just for a show of force - Rally.

I bet the whole show was a disguise to catch all off guard. Somehow I cannot get rid of this thinking- this must be the case ,Moaist had planned to take over government by force as rally as a disguise. What do you guys think, I see some rational but loved to hear from you on this.

Sansar

 
At 10:38 AM, May 31, 2006, Anonymous denk said...

how about this

 

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