A Tangible Shift
Blogdai feels the winds changing in our little political stalemate. This week brought about some significant and telling events in our current drama.
The "Farce One" is crying to the UN now because the king is ignoring his unilateral ceasefire.
He says if the King doesn't reciprocate, he might be tempted to start attacking again. http://www.alertnet.org/thenews/newsdesk/DEL200971.htm. Seems our fearless terrorist leader is a bit steamed that ol' King G. won't take the bait this time. I guess the Maoists will have to find another tactic to help them re-group and re-arm themselves. Blogdai wonders what all the fuss is about; G is just honoring the spirit of a unilateral ceasefire.
Showing the world they think Nepal is their private fiefdom, India refuses to allow the UN to intervene and help out the situation http://www.kantipuronline.com/kolnews.php?&nid=51376,
causing everyone in the diplomatic community to scratch their heads.
After meeting External Affairs Minister Singh, (UN rep) Brahimi seemed a “little puzzled” to know that India does not want UN’s involvement in the resolution of Nepal’s tri-polar conflict, the source who also discussed the situation in Nepal with Brahimi said. It was not immediately clear what kind of third party mediation, if at all, Delhi favoured for resolution of the bloody conflict, something it says has started to spill over into its territory...
Is this because India thinks it is doing such a damn fine job of containing the Maoists that they don't need any help?
No lack of decision making skill from Nepal's northern Neighbor, however. China just inked a deal selling RS 1.6 billion worth of weapons to Nepal. No wonder Prachanda is worried. http://www.nepalnews.com/archive/2005/sep/sep11/news05.php. This dragon is shouting loud and clear to the world: India missed a beat and we're stepping into the vaccuum. To the bungling bureaucrats in Delhi: Say bye-bye to your little satellite now.
So, what do all of these things mean when taken together? Blogdai thinks that the Maoists are now in a panic and will form a last-gasp alliance with the 7 parties. Also, watch India get more and more anti-monarch as the days go on. Blogdai sees India throwing support behind the 7-party alliance and yes, the Maoists. It's an open secret anyway, but look for more Indian arms to find their way into party hands in the future. India has always used the Maoists to keep Nepal unstable and dependent (why do you think India doesn't want UN mediation?). The biggest problem is that now G. has let the rough and culturally incompatable Chinese right through his front door. Getting rid of them will be almost impossible.